Nation Runner

Flag of CanadaCountry desk · updated 12 Nov

Canada

343 seats, and the Liberals hold 173.

Key takeaways

  1. 1

    Parliament. Liberal Party holds the most seats: 173 of 343 (50%). A majority needs 172.

  2. 2

    Headlines. The tone is brightening: 10% of the last 14 days' headlines read grim, 13% upbeat. Top topic: Politics (27%).

  3. 3

    Government. Government barometer 47/100 (Mixed record). 0 of 2 moves on file read as smart, 0 as harmful.

  4. 4

    Next vote. Canadian federal election on 15 October 2029, in 1067 days.

Headline mood · 14 days

Line: mood · bars: stories

12 Nov · 8 stories · neutral1 upbeat · 6 neutral · 1 grim

What the headlines are about

  • Politics 27%
  • Other 27%
  • Economy 26%
  • Security 11%
  • Society 6%
  • Climate 2%

A simple word-list estimate from the daily wire headlines. Not a judgement.

Who holds the seats · House of Commons

343 seats · 172 for a majority (line)

Liberal Party

173 seats · 50.4% · a majority alone

173 on the House of Commons members page, read 28 September 2026. Elections Canada’s official voting-results table 9 lists the Liberal Party of Canada at 43.8 percent of valid votes in the national Total column. The 22 September 2026 Nanos note prints Liberal ballot support at 48.1 percent.

Map · mood compared

Canada

Overall mood: 10% grim, 13% upbeat · today +0

What changed today

12 Nov

  • 12 Nov: 8 stories (average 8); tone as usual.

New headlines

3 more headlines
Earlier this week: 10 more headlines

Headlines and summaries come from the linked sources; the selection is automatic.

Go deeper

Parties, people, promises, money

Chamber · 28 Sep 2026 · vote 28 Apr 2025

343 seats, and the Liberals hold 173.

The seat map is the House of Commons members page, read 28 September 2026. It says 337 members are in office in the 45th Parliament and lists the Liberal Party at 173, the Conservative Party at 137, the Bloc Québécois at 21, the New Democratic Party at 5, and the Green Party at 1. It also lists 6 vacancies. Those affiliation rows sum to 343, which is the chamber drawn here. A majority of 343 is 172. The Liberals have 173, so they have a majority on their own. Vote shares are the national totals on Elections Canada’s official voting-results table for the 45th general election of 28 April 2025, not a figure printed on the later members page. The six vacancies are not drawn as a party.

The room

House of Commons

343 seats · 172 to govern · members page 28 September 2026 · Liberals 173

The deal

Liberal majority

172 seats would be a majority of 343. The Liberal Party has 173 on the members page read 28 September 2026. That 173 is drawn as the majority, not as a coalition sum. The cabinet page does not name a partner party.

The mood

Election vs now

The left bar is the share of valid votes on 28 April 2025. The right bar is seats divided by 343. They are different counts.

  • Liberal
    48.1%
  • Conservative
    31.0%
  • Bloc
    0.0%
  • NDP
    11.2%
  • Green
    0.0%

The first point is the national share of valid votes on 28 April 2025. The later points are Nanos ballot-support figures, a four-week telephone average, not the same question as votes cast. The 15 September 2026 note covers the four weeks ending 11 September and prints the Bloc and the Greens. The 22 September note prints the Liberals, the Conservatives, and the New Democratic Party, and does not print the Bloc or the Greens, so those later bars are empty.

The trend

From election night to now

Public pollster blend — not a forecast

The split

Seat share beside the April 2025 vote

The right bar is seats divided by 343. The left bar is the national share of valid votes. Vacancies have no vote row, so they are not on this chart.

The mismatch

Seats they hold vs the poll

The seat bar is the 28 September 2026 headcount, divided by 343. The other bar is the Nanos ballot figure in the 22 September 2026 note, where that party was named. An empty bar means that note did not name the party.

The faces

Open a dossier

The Prime Minister and the Speaker already have a Commons portrait. The other ministers and the Leader of the Official Opposition are on the people list without a new picture.

Tap a face for the full profile

The rude gauge

Growth king or a fight with work

Who grows the pie, who picks a fight with work. Cabinet sits at 47 / 100. The number is an editorial reading, not an official index. Six topics are averaged and multiplied by ten: energy supply, hiring, keeping and investing money, building, hours in paid work, and paperwork. Ten means the public record makes that easier for work. Zero means it makes it harder. A row with no cited party and no personal statute stays at the middle and is labelled not scored. The band is a label for that average, not a court ruling.

Against the workMixed recordGrowth king

Full causal chains live on every promise

This week

The pulse

Chamber

Commons headcount

337 members in office. Liberal Party 173. Six vacancies are not a party row.

Office

Official Opposition

The House roles page lists Pierre Poilievre as Leader of the Official Opposition from 18 August 2025.

Politics 101

How this country actually works

What this chamber drawing is

343 seats. 172 to govern. The Liberals have 173.

Counts are the House of Commons members page read on 28 September 2026. It says 337 members are in office and lists 6 vacancies. The affiliation rows sum to 343. 172 is half of 343, rounded up. Party rows on this desk omit the vacancies, so they sum to 337. Vote shares are Elections Canada table 9, national Total, for the 45th general election of 28 April 2025.

Who holds the offices this desk names

Carney, Prime Minister. Scarpaleggia, Speaker. Poilievre, Official Opposition.

The Prime Minister of Canada page names Mark Carney, sworn in in March 2025. The cabinet page names the ministers and does not print a party. The Speaker page names Francis Scarpaleggia. The House roles page names Pierre Poilievre as Leader of the Official Opposition from 18 August 2025.

Elections

What is on the calendar

National elections and the major votes on these desks, for about the next 24 months. The date comes from the election authority. A poll appears only when a named pollster published it in the last 60 days.

Canadian federal election

Expected

Expected · 15 Oct 2029

1067 days

Section 56.1 of the Canada Elections Act fixes a general election on the third Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last one (28 April 2025), which Elections Canada gives as 15 October 2029. The Governor General can still dissolve Parliament earlier.

Date source: Elections Canada

How foreigners are seen

Openness in Canada

Published surveys only. Each figure shows its source and year.

Who's welcomed

Share of adults in Canada with a favourable opinion of each country Pew asked about. A view of a country, not of its people.

Welcoming index

Derived from the two published measures below, not a survey result. Each input keeps its own year.

85.7/100

Mean of Gallup 8.14 of 9 (2017), rescaled to 90.4, and MIPEX 81 of 100 (2024).

The measures behind it (shown separately)

What expats say

InterNations Expat Insider 2025: rank out of 46 destinations, 1 is best.

  • Ease of settling in27 of 46
  • Culture and welcome27 of 46
  • Local friendliness23 of 46
  • Finding friends35 of 46

InterNations, Expat Insider 2025

All desks side by side

Pick a measure. Countries without a published figure show Unknown and sit at the end; they are not counted in the average.

Average of the 20 of 22 desks with a figure: 63.3 of 100. Unknown left out: Georgia, Thailand.

  1. Canadathis desk85.72024
  2. United States80.72020
  3. Portugal78.42023
  4. Australia76.82019
  5. Spain73.32024
  6. Ireland72.52023
  7. Netherlands69.92023
  8. Switzerland65.12019
  9. Italy65.12023
  10. United Kingdom64.72020
  11. Germany64.62023
  12. South Korea64.12020
  13. France63.62024
  14. Japan59.22019
  15. Mexico51.92019
  16. Malta51.52024
  17. Cyprus50.62024
  18. United Arab Emirates46.72019
  19. Greece43.12024
  20. Estonia38.72024
  21. GeorgiaUnknownMIPEX does not cover this country, so the index cannot be built.
  22. ThailandUnknownMIPEX does not cover this country, so the index cannot be built.

In plain words

  • Expats ranked Canada 27 of 46 for ease of settling in (2025); its best sub-score was local friendliness at 23.
  • Of the 3 countries Pew asked about here, China drew the most favourable opinions (34%, 2025).
  • Favourable opinions of United States went from 51% in 2019 to 34% in 2025 (Pew).

Sources and method are listed under “How we source this” at the bottom of the page.

What it means for you

What it means for you

Only figures with a source and a date. Each source is listed under “How we source this” at the bottom of the page. Anything not listed here is not on file.

  • Taxes

    For 2026 the Canada Revenue Agency taxes the portion of taxable income from 0 to 58,523 dollars at 14 percent. The next portion, from 58,523.01 to 117,045 dollars, is taxed at 20.5 percent. Provinces add their own rates.

  • Taxes

    The CRA GST/HST calculator table lists Alberta at 5 percent GST and 0 percent PST. The same page records that Nova Scotia’s HST fell to 14 percent on 1 April 2025. Other provinces combine GST with a provincial tax.

  • Benefits

    For July to September 2026, Old Age Security for someone aged 65 to 74 is up to 751.97 dollars a month when 2025 net world income is less than 152,062 dollars. At 75 and over the maximum on the same table is 827.17 dollars, if 2025 income is less than 157,923 dollars.

  • Benefits

    For July 2026 to June 2027, the maximum Canada child benefit is 8,157 dollars a year (679.75 dollars a month) for each child under 6, and 6,883 dollars a year for each child aged 6 to 17, when adjusted family net income is under 38,237 dollars. Above that income the benefit is reduced.

Sources, licences and image credits

Data

  • Wire (public RSS feeds): X, CBC Canada, CBC Politics.
  • The left bar is the share of valid votes on 28 April 2025. The right bar is seats divided by 343. They are different counts.
  • Editorial economic-competence gauge, not a court and not a Nobel. Six axes: energy, hiring, capital, building, hours in work, red tape. Scores are a judgement from public records of this term and the last — not a bribery charge, not a voting recommendation.

Survey sources

  • Canada — Gallup Migrant Acceptance Index 2017: Gallup. Neli Esipova, Julie Ray and Anita Pugliese, “Migrant Acceptance in Canada, U.S. Follows Political Lines”, Gallup, 26 April 2018. Canada scores 8.14 out of 9. The article says the Canadian survey was taken in 2017. A later Canada score was not on the page that was read, so none is added. Source. Gallup allows a contextual citation when the publication date and a link are given. The table and graphics are not reproduced.
  • Canada — MIPEX overall score 2024: MIPEX. Migrant Integration Policy Index, Canada country page, headed 2024. “Its overall MIPEX score has risen by 2 points since 2019, being now 81 points.” The conclusions repeat 81 out of 100. MIPEX is the Migrant Integration Policy Index. Source. The overall score is cited from the country page. The report is not reproduced.

Image credits

  • Liberal Party of Canada mark — Liberal Party of Canada · Public domain Source
  • Conservative Party of Canada mark — Conservative Party of Canada · CC0 Source
  • Bloc Québécois mark — Bloc Québécois · Public domain Source
  • Geometric mark for the New Democratic Party, not a party logo — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Green Party of Canada mark — Green Party of Canada · Public domain Source
  • Flag of Canada — George F. G. Stanley / E Pluribus Anthony / Sodacan · Public domain Source
  • Mark Carney, Prime Minister — Number 10 · Open Government Licence v3.0 Source
  • Francis Scarpaleggia, Speaker of the House of Commons — Pete Hoekstra · Public domain Source
Questions the desk actually answers

FAQ

Questions the desk actually answers

Is the Canada desk live on Nation Runner?
Yes. It draws the House of Commons members page read on 28 September 2026, the Elections Canada national vote table for 28 April 2025, and the Prime Minister, Speaker, and Leader of the Official Opposition named on official pages. It is an editorial dashboard, not an official record.
Which culture figures does the Canada desk show?
Gallup’s Migrant Acceptance Index for Canada in 2017 (8.14 out of 9) and the Migrant Integration Policy Index score of 81, with 2024 printed beside that score. The Pew Spring 2025 rows already on the perceptions page are cited there.
Does the money tab score Canadian political financing?
No. Zeros mean the access scale is not filled. A zero is not a finding that a party has no donors.
How we source this

Seats: House of Commons, 28 September 2026. Votes: Elections Canada table 9, 45th general election, 28 April 2025. Ballot support: Nanos, notes of 15 September and 22 September 2026. Offices: Prime Minister of Canada, the cabinet page, the Speaker page, and the House roles page. Culture: Gallup 2017 and the Migrant Integration Policy Index headed 2024.

How foreigners are seen

Pew asks adults for their opinion of a country. That is a view of the country, not of its people or of any visitor. We never estimate a pair that was not asked; it shows as unknown.

InterNations ranks come from expats living in the country (46 destinations in 2025). Gallup's Migrant Acceptance Index runs from 0 to 9. MIPEX scores integration law and policy from 0 to 100.

Welcoming index: the mean of the Gallup index rescaled to 0–100 (score ÷ 9 × 100) and the MIPEX overall score, rounded to one decimal. It is derived, not a survey result, and the two inputs come from different years. If either input is missing the index is unknown: it is not estimated, it sorts last and it is left out of the average.

What it means for you

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