Nation Runner

Flag of PortugalCountry desk · updated 12 Nov

Portugal

230 seats, and Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP) holds 91.

Key takeaways

  1. 1

    Parliament. Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP) holds the most seats: 91 of 230 (40%). A majority needs 116.

  2. 2

    Headlines. The tone is steady: 13% of the last 14 days' headlines read grim, 6% upbeat. Top topic: Economy (14%).

  3. 3

    Government. Government barometer 63/100 (Builder). 0 of 2 moves on file read as smart, 0 as harmful.

Headline mood · 14 days

Line: mood · bars: stories

12 Nov · 8 stories · leaning upbeat1 upbeat · 7 neutral · 0 grim

What the headlines are about

  • Other 70%
  • Economy 14%
  • Politics 7%
  • Society 5%
  • Climate 4%

A simple word-list estimate from the daily wire headlines. Not a judgement.

Who holds the seats · Assembly of the Republic

230 seats · 116 for a majority (line)

Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP)

91 seats · 39.6%

91 of 230 seats. The official results map gives the Democratic Alliance 91 seats: 88 for the PSD/CDS-PP list and 3 for the PSD/CDS-PP/PPM list in the Azores. Lusa's table prints 31.21 and 0.58 percent, 31.8 together. The Intercampus poll of October 2026 prints 21.7 percent.

Map · mood compared

Portugal

Overall mood: 13% grim, 6% upbeat · today +13

What changed today

12 Nov

  • 12 Nov: 8 stories (average 8); tone more upbeat than usual.

New headlines

3 more headlines
Earlier this week: 10 more headlines

Headlines and summaries come from the linked sources; the selection is automatic.

Go deeper

Parties, people, promises, money

Seats 18 May 2025 · votes at that election

230 seats, and Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP) holds 91.

The seat map is the official results map of the 18 May 2025 election published in the Diário da República. It shows 230 seats: Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP) 91, Chega 60, Socialist Party 58, Liberal Initiative 9, Livre 6, Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP-PEV) 3, Left Bloc 1, People–Animals–Nature 1, Together for the People 1. A majority of 230 is 116. António José Seguro became President of the Republic in March 2026; the president is elected separately and does not sit in the Assembly. Vote shares are from Lusa's comparative results table for 2025. They are a share of votes cast, not a share of seats.

A score on this desk is an editorial average of six work topics, times ten, with the method written on the row.

The room

Assembly of the Republic

230 seats · 116 to govern alone · Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP) 91

The deal

A minority government on 91 of 230 seats

116 seats would be a majority of 230. The Democratic Alliance of the Social Democrats and CDS-PP holds 91 on the official results map, so the Montenegro government needs votes from other groups to pass laws. Chega has 60 and the Socialist Party 58.

The mood

Election vs now

The left bar is the vote share. The right bar is seats divided by 230. They are different counts.

  • AD
    21.7%
  • Chega
    24.0%
  • PS
    24.4%
  • IL
    8.0%
  • Livre
    5.5%
  • CDU
    4.7%
  • BE
    2.8%
  • PAN
    4.1%
  • JPP
    0.0%

The first point is the 2025 result in Lusa's table, with the two Democratic Alliance lists added. The second point is the Aximage online poll of 501 voters for Diário de Notícias on 6–7 October 2026. The third point is Intercampus for NOW, 615 interviews on 6–12 October 2026. The fourth point is the Pitagórica tracking poll for TVI, CNN Portugal and Sol, 804 interviews over four weeks to 12 October, published 15 October. Polls report shares of people with a voting intention, so they are not the same count as votes cast.

The trend

From election night to now

Public pollster blend — not a forecast

The split

Seat share beside the vote share

The right bar is seats divided by 230. The left bar is the vote share. The electoral system means the two differ.

The mismatch

Seats they hold vs the poll

The seat bar is seats divided by 230. The other bar is the Intercampus poll for NOW of 6–12 October 2026.

The rude gauge

Growth king or a fight with work

Who grows the pie, who picks a fight with work. Cabinet sits at 63 / 100. The number is an editorial reading, not an official index. Six topics are averaged and multiplied by ten: energy supply, hiring, keeping and investing money, building, hours in paid work, and paperwork. Ten means the public record makes that easier for work. Zero means it makes it harder. The band is a label for that average, not a court ruling.

Against the workBuilderGrowth king

Full causal chains live on every promise

This week

The pulse

Government

Interior minister

Luís Neves replaced Maria Lúcia Amaral as Minister of Internal Administration, the first change to the XXV Government.

Poll

Intercampus / NOW

Socialist Party 24.4, Chega 24.0, Democratic Alliance 21.7, Liberal Initiative 8.0 percent.

Politics 101

How this country actually works

What this chamber drawing is

230 seats. 116 to govern alone.

The seat map is the official results map of the 18 May 2025 election published in the Diário da República. It shows 230 seats: Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP) 91, Chega 60, Socialist Party 58, Liberal Initiative 9, Livre 6, Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP-PEV) 3, Left Bloc 1, People–Animals–Nature 1, Together for the People 1. A majority of 230 is 116. António José Seguro became President of the Republic in March 2026; the president is elected separately and does not sit in the Assembly. Vote shares are from Lusa's comparative results table for 2025. They are a share of votes cast, not a share of seats.

Who holds the offices this desk names

Luís Montenegro, Prime Minister; Joaquim Miranda Sarmento, Minister of State and Finance.

Office holders come from the Lusa list of the XXV Constitutional Government after the February 2026 change. Party leaders are named from the press reports linked on each bio.

How foreigners are seen

Openness in Portugal

Published surveys only. Each figure shows its source and year.

Who's welcomed

Share of adults in Portugal with a favourable opinion of each country Pew asked about. A view of a country, not of its people.

UnknownNo country view on file

Pew's 2025 Global Attitudes survey did not poll in Portugal, and no other survey of views of other countries is on this desk yet. Nothing is guessed. The other measures here, and the comparison below, still work.

Welcoming index

Derived from the two published measures below, not a survey result. Each input keeps its own year.

78.4/100

Mean of Gallup 6.65 of 9 (2016), rescaled to 73.9, and MIPEX 83 of 100 (2023).

The measures behind it (shown separately)

What expats say

InterNations Expat Insider 2025: rank out of 46 destinations, 1 is best.

  • Ease of settling in16 of 46
  • Culture and welcome13 of 46
  • Local friendliness15 of 46
  • Finding friends20 of 46

InterNations, Expat Insider 2025

All desks side by side

Pick a measure. Countries without a published figure show Unknown and sit at the end; they are not counted in the average.

Average of the 20 of 22 desks with a figure: 63.3 of 100. Unknown left out: Georgia, Thailand.

  1. Canada85.72024
  2. United States80.72020
  3. Portugalthis desk78.42023
  4. Australia76.82019
  5. Spain73.32024
  6. Ireland72.52023
  7. Netherlands69.92023
  8. Switzerland65.12019
  9. Italy65.12023
  10. United Kingdom64.72020
  11. Germany64.62023
  12. South Korea64.12020
  13. France63.62024
  14. Japan59.22019
  15. Mexico51.92019
  16. Malta51.52024
  17. Cyprus50.62024
  18. United Arab Emirates46.72019
  19. Greece43.12024
  20. Estonia38.72024
  21. GeorgiaUnknownMIPEX does not cover this country, so the index cannot be built.
  22. ThailandUnknownMIPEX does not cover this country, so the index cannot be built.

In plain words

  • Expats ranked Portugal 16 of 46 for ease of settling in (2025); its best sub-score was culture and welcome at 13.
  • No published survey here asks people about other countries, so who's welcomed is unknown for this country.

Sources and method are listed under “How we source this” at the bottom of the page.

What it means for you

What it means for you

Only figures with a source and a date. Each source is listed under “How we source this” at the bottom of the page. Anything not listed here is not on file.

  • Pay

    The labour ministry's DGERT page says Decree-Law 139/2025, published on 29 December 2025, set the guaranteed minimum monthly pay at €920 from 1 January 2026.

  • Taxes

    The summary gives a standard rate of 23 percent on the mainland, 22 percent in Madeira and 16 percent in the Azores.

  • Business

    The summary gives a flat rate of 19 percent for companies resident on the mainland, 15 percent on the first €50,000 for small and medium-sized firms, and local and state surtaxes on top.

Sources, licences and image credits

Data

  • Wire (public RSS feeds): X, Portugal Resident, Observador, Expresso, The Portugal News.
  • The left bar is the vote share. The right bar is seats divided by 230. They are different counts.
  • Editorial economic-competence gauge, not a court and not a Nobel. Six axes: energy, hiring, capital, building, hours in work, red tape. Scores are a judgement from public records of this term and the last — not a bribery charge, not a voting recommendation.

Survey sources

  • Portugal — Gallup Migrant Acceptance Index 2016: Gallup. Neli Esipova, John Fleming and Julie Ray, “New Index Shows Least-, Most-Accepting Countries for Migrants”, Gallup, 23 August 2017. The full-country table lists Portugal at 6.65. The survey-methods note says the index was asked in 138 countries in 2016, so the year used here is 2016. Source. Gallup allows a contextual citation when the publication date and a link are given. The table and graphics are not reproduced.
  • Portugal — MIPEX overall score 2023: MIPEX. Migrant Integration Policy Index, Portugal country page. The block headed 2023 prints “MIPEX Score (with Health): 83” and the label “Comprehensive (Top10)”. Source. The overall score is cited from the country page. The report is not reproduced.

Image credits

  • Democratic Alliance (PSD/CDS-PP) mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Chega mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Socialist Party mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Liberal Initiative mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Livre mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP-PEV) mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Left Bloc mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • People–Animals–Nature mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Together for the People mark — Nation Runner · Original geometric mark. Not an official party logo. Public domain. Source
  • Flag of Portugal — Wikimedia Commons · Public domain Source
Questions the desk actually answers

FAQ

Questions the desk actually answers

Is the Portugal desk live on Nation Runner?
Yes. It draws the official results map of the 18 May 2025 election published in the Diário da República, Lusa's comparative results table for 2025, and the Lusa list of the XXV Constitutional Government after the February 2026 change. It is an editorial dashboard, not an official record.
Which culture figures does the Portugal desk show?
Gallup’s Migrant Acceptance Index for Portugal in 2016 (6.65 out of 9) and the Migrant Integration Policy Index score of 83, with 2023 printed beside that score. No Pew row for Portugal is on the perceptions page, so none is added here.
Does the money tab score political donations in Portugal?
No. Zeros mean the access scale is not filled. A zero is not a finding that a party has no donors.
How we source this

Seats: the official results map of the 18 May 2025 election published in the Diário da República. Votes: Lusa's comparative results table for 2025. Ballot support: Aximage / DN, 6–7 Oct 2026; Intercampus / NOW, 6–12 Oct 2026; Pitagórica / TVI–CNN–Sol, 14 Sep–12 Oct 2026. Offices: the Lusa list of the XXV Constitutional Government after the February 2026 change. Culture: Gallup 2016 and the Migrant Integration Policy Index block headed 2023.

How foreigners are seen

Pew asks adults for their opinion of a country. That is a view of the country, not of its people or of any visitor. We never estimate a pair that was not asked; it shows as unknown.

InterNations ranks come from expats living in the country (46 destinations in 2025). Gallup's Migrant Acceptance Index runs from 0 to 9. MIPEX scores integration law and policy from 0 to 100.

Welcoming index: the mean of the Gallup index rescaled to 0–100 (score ÷ 9 × 100) and the MIPEX overall score, rounded to one decimal. It is derived, not a survey result, and the two inputs come from different years. If either input is missing the index is unknown: it is not estimated, it sorts last and it is left out of the average.

What it means for you

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