Cabinet page updated
The government page lists Prime Minister Kristen Michal and 12 ministers from the Reform Party and Estonia 200.
Country desk
101 seats, and Estonian Reform Party holds 36.
Parliament. Estonian Reform Party holds the most seats: 36 of 101 (36%). A majority needs 51.
Headlines. The tone is brightening: 8% of the last 13 days' headlines read grim, 5% upbeat. Top topic: Security (27%).
Government. Government barometer 62/100 (Builder). 0 of 2 moves on file read as smart, 0 as harmful.
Line: mood · bars: stories
12 Nov · 2 stories · neutral0 upbeat · 2 neutral · 0 grim
What the headlines are about
A simple word-list estimate from the daily wire headlines. Not a judgement.
101 seats · 51 for a majority (line)
Estonian Reform Party
36 seats · 35.6%
36 of 101 seats. The Riigikogu member API lists 36 members in the Reform Party faction on 22 October 2026, down from the 37 seats it won in 2023 with 31.24 percent. Norstat's poll of 21 September – 18 October 2026 printed 12.5 percent.
Estonia
Overall mood: 8% grim, 5% upbeat · today +0
Police escorted Leonid Karabeshkin along wet pavement to Estonia's southern border, enforcing a Schengen-wide ban to shield national security.
X · 3 Nov
France is currently behaving like a sputtering internal combustion engine because the wrong fuel has flowed into the carburettor. At the same time, a historical pattern can be seen in the narrative of the ongoing nationwide riot, writes Colonel Margus Kuul, a doctoral student at the Estonian Military Academy.
Postimees News · 3 Nov
«At the proposal of the Internal Security Service (KAPO), the police expelled Russian citizen Leonid Karabeshkin from Estonia via the Koidula border crossing point early Monday morning, revoked his residence permit, and imposed a Schengen entry ban on him. The purpose of the expulsion is to prevent and thwart activities that threaten the security of Estonia and, more broadly, of Europe.
Postimees News · 3 Nov
Police escorted Leonid Karabeshkin along wet pavement to Estonia's southern border, enforcing a Schengen-wide ban to shield national security.
X · 4 Nov
France is currently behaving like a sputtering internal combustion engine because the wrong fuel has flowed into the carburettor. At the same time, a historical pattern can be seen in the narrative of the ongoing nationwide riot, writes Colonel Margus Kuul, a doctoral student at the Estonian Military Academy.
Postimees News · 4 Nov
«At the proposal of the Internal Security Service (KAPO), the police expelled Russian citizen Leonid Karabeshkin from Estonia via the Koidula border crossing point early Monday morning, revoked his residence permit, and imposed a Schengen entry ban on him. The purpose of the expulsion is to prevent and thwart activities that threaten the security of Estonia and, more broadly, of Europe.
Postimees News · 4 Nov
Chelsea's young Blues took an early lead at home, but Estonian side FC Flora Tallinn fought back with grit, clinching a dramatic 3-2 win and 5-4 aggregate victory.
X · 5 Nov
Chelsea U19 took the lead twice at home, only for Estonian underdogs Tallinn FC Flora to fight back each time and claim a historic 3-2 win.
X · 6 Nov
The longer the war lasts, the more deeply it permeates the entire society. Over the years, a citizen's initial neutrality can turn into a tacitly supportive stance, as an invisible bond of complicity also forms. But this is not the only complex question regarding Russia. The armed conflict is a phase before the next stage – an ideological war for the concept of "goodness," writes columnist Viktor…
Postimees News · 6 Nov
When the Estonian yacht Cekritito started sinking 155 nautical miles off Spain, Captain Madis Rallmann's Starlink connection sent a distress call that saved six lives.
X · 7 Nov
Headlines and summaries come from the linked sources; the selection is automatic.
Go deeper
The seat map is the Riigikogu open member API, factions on 22 October 2026. It shows 101 seats: Estonian Reform Party 36, Members outside any faction 20, Estonia 200 12, Social Democratic Party 9, Conservative People's Party of Estonia 9, Isamaa 8, Estonian Centre Party 7. A majority of 101 is 51. Faction counts have moved a long way since 2023, because members who leave a party cannot join another faction. Parempoolsed, which has no seat, polled 6.9 percent in the latest Norstat aggregate. The next Riigikogu election is due in March 2027. Vote shares are from the 5 March 2023 election result from the National Electoral Committee. They are a share of votes cast, not a share of seats.
A score on this desk is an editorial average of six work topics, times ten, with the method written on the row.
The room
101 seats · 51 to govern alone · Estonian Reform Party and Estonia 200 48
The deal
51 seats would be a majority of 101. The Reform Party faction has 36 members and Estonia 200 has 12, so the coalition factions count 48. 20 members sit outside any faction. The four opposition factions have 33 together.
The mood
The left bar is the vote share. The right bar is seats divided by 101. They are different counts.
The first point is the 5 March 2023 Riigikogu election. The second and third points are Norstat's rolling four-week aggregates for the Institute for Societal Studies, as ERR reported them: 4,000 voting-age citizens each, 14 September – 12 October and 21 September – 18 October 2026. Norstat excludes respondents without a party preference, so the shares are of decided voters.
The trend
Public pollster blend — not a forecast
The split
The right bar is seats divided by 101. The left bar is the vote share. The electoral system means the two differ.
The mismatch
The seat bar is seats divided by 101. The other bar is the Norstat poll of 21 September – 18 October 2026.
The rude gauge
Who grows the pie, who picks a fight with work. Cabinet sits at 62 / 100. The number is an editorial reading, not an official index. Six topics are averaged and multiplied by ten: energy supply, hiring, keeping and investing money, building, hours in paid work, and paperwork. Ten means the public record makes that easier for work. Zero means it makes it harder. The band is a label for that average, not a court ruling.
Full causal chains live on every promise
This week
The government page lists Prime Minister Kristen Michal and 12 ministers from the Reform Party and Estonia 200.
Norstat put the two coalition parties at a combined 13.9 percent and the Riigikogu opposition at 75.8 percent, five months before the March 2027 election.
Politics 101
101 seats. 51 to govern alone.
The seat map is the Riigikogu open member API, factions on 22 October 2026. It shows 101 seats: Estonian Reform Party 36, Members outside any faction 20, Estonia 200 12, Social Democratic Party 9, Conservative People's Party of Estonia 9, Isamaa 8, Estonian Centre Party 7. A majority of 101 is 51. Faction counts have moved a long way since 2023, because members who leave a party cannot join another faction. Parempoolsed, which has no seat, polled 6.9 percent in the latest Norstat aggregate. The next Riigikogu election is due in March 2027. Vote shares are from the 5 March 2023 election result from the National Electoral Committee. They are a share of votes cast, not a share of seats.
Kristen Michal, Prime Minister; Jürgen Ligi, Minister of Finance.
Office holders come from the government's page on the 54th Government, last updated 16 September 2026. Party leaders are named from the press reports linked on each bio.
How foreigners are seen
Published surveys only. Each figure shows its source and year.
Share of adults in Estonia with a favourable opinion of each country Pew asked about. A view of a country, not of its people.
UnknownNo country view on file
Pew's 2025 Global Attitudes survey did not poll in Estonia, and no other survey of views of other countries is on this desk yet. Nothing is guessed. The other measures here, and the comparison below, still work.
Derived from the two published measures below, not a survey result. Each input keeps its own year.
38.7/100
Mean of Gallup 2.37 of 9 (2016), rescaled to 26.3, and MIPEX 51 of 100 (2024).
InterNations Expat Insider 2022: rank out of 52 destinations, 1 is best.
InterNations, Expat Insider 2022
Pick a measure. Countries without a published figure show Unknown and sit at the end; they are not counted in the average.
Average of the 20 of 22 desks with a figure: 63.3 of 100. Unknown left out: Georgia, Thailand.
Sources and method are listed under “How we source this” at the bottom of the page.
What it means for you
Only figures with a source and a date. Each source is listed under “How we source this” at the bottom of the page. Anything not listed here is not on file.
Pay
The Ministry of Economic Affairs announced that the minimum monthly wage for full-time work rises to €946 from April 2026.
Taxes
The summary gives a standard rate of 24 percent, 13 percent on hotel accommodation and 9 percent on books, periodicals and listed medicines.
Business
Undistributed profits are tax exempt. Distributed profits are taxed at 22 percent, charged as 22/78 of the net distribution, so €100 of profit pays out €78 with €22 of tax.
FAQ
Seats: the Riigikogu open member API, factions on 22 October 2026. Votes: the 5 March 2023 election result from the National Electoral Committee. Ballot support: Norstat, 14 Sep–12 Oct 2026; Norstat, 21 Sep–18 Oct 2026. Offices: the government's page on the 54th Government, last updated 16 September 2026. Culture: Gallup 2016 and the Migrant Integration Policy Index block headed 2024.
Pew asks adults for their opinion of a country. That is a view of the country, not of its people or of any visitor. We never estimate a pair that was not asked; it shows as unknown.
InterNations ranks come from expats living in the country (46 destinations in 2025). Gallup's Migrant Acceptance Index runs from 0 to 9. MIPEX scores integration law and policy from 0 to 100.
Welcoming index: the mean of the Gallup index rescaled to 0–100 (score ÷ 9 × 100) and the MIPEX overall score, rounded to one decimal. It is derived, not a survey result, and the two inputs come from different years. If either input is missing the index is unknown: it is not estimated, it sorts last and it is left out of the average.
Cookies Language and theme stay in this browser. Analytics (DataFast) only if you accept, and only if this deploy has a website id. Privacy.